How our estimates are computed

The promise of this site is that you can check our math. This page is the math.

The model

Every fair-price range is computed the same way:

estimate = (labor hours × your state's shop rate) + parts band

Labor hours are editorial ranges per repair and vehicle class, compiled from the classes of sources shops themselves use: flat-rate labor-time guides (Chilton/Mitchell-class systems), manufacturer maintenance schedules, and the spread we observe across real-world quotes. Where access varies wildly between engines (alternators, spark plugs), the range is deliberately wide and the guide says why.

Shop rates are per-state estimates for independent shops and franchise dealers, compiled from published shop-rate surveys (AAA's published repair-cost guidance, state consumer-affairs postings), shops' own posted rates in major metros, and Bureau of Labor Statistics wage data as a floor check — updated 2026-07. Dealers typically run 25–40% above independents for identical work; that spread is real and mostly reflects overhead and OEM-parts policy, not skill.

Parts bands are ranges for quality aftermarket parts and OEM parts by vehicle class. "Quality aftermarket" means established brands a careful shop would install — not the cheapest white-box listing online, which is how quotes below our ranges usually happen.

What the ranges mean — and don't

A range is where an honest, itemized quote usually lands. It is not a promise: your specific engine, rust, prior bodgery, and regional parts availability all move real prices. A quote above our range isn't automatically a rip-off — but every dollar above it should correspond to an itemized line you can question, and our per-repair guides list the legitimate add-ons and the trigger for each.

Data vintage and updates

The current model was compiled in 2026-07 from the published sources above, and rates and parts bands are reviewed monthly. We're now accumulating anonymous reader-submitted quotes through the quote decoder: as each repair's sample grows past a minimum threshold, we recalibrate its range against those observed prices and show the count on that repair's page. Reader quotes are the highest-quality signal available — they're what shops actually charged, not what anyone advertises — so the model gets more grounded as the dataset builds. Until a repair reaches the threshold, its range reflects the published sources above, and every page states the model date it was built from.

Editorial standards

Known limits (read this part)

The one-sentence version: published labor times × your state's real rates + honest parts bands, dated, reviewed, and recalibrated against real quotes — with the limits stated out loud.